Environmental Episodes: Imagining the future of climate change to motivate action


Episodic simulation exercises evoke affect and motivate pro-environmental behavior


Climate change is a global crisis that requires immediate action to prevent negative future outcomes. However, even people who are concerned about climate change may fail to take action because they perceive climate change as a threat that is distant, abstract, or not self-relevant. How can we bridge this gap between our present actions and future outcomes?

In a series of behavioral experiments, we tested interventions that aimed to overcome these barriers by guiding individuals to imagine future scenarios. In an initial study (part of a broader "intervention tournament"), we tested four variants of an episodic simulation (i.e., guided imagination) intervention, in which participants vividly imagined a future scenario related to climate change. We varied the motivational framing (Prevention vs. Promotion) and self-relevance (Self vs. Other focus) of the imagined scenarios. Imagining oneself experiencing a negative future scenario (Prevention-Self condition) broadly increased intentions to engage in pro-environmental behaviors, motivating individual and collective action, whereas imagining a positive future (Promotion conditions) increased the perceived impact of taking action. The Prevention-Self intervention was actually the leading strategy for motivating action, among all 11 interventions tested in our tournament!

 In a second preregistered study, we replicated the key effect of Prevention-Self on action intentions and demonstrated that this effect was mediated by negative affect induced by the imagination exercise. We also explored multi-part interventions that combined the Prevention-Self imagination task with other tasks, like action planning or taking an "impact quiz" about pro-environmental behaviors. However, the standalone imagination exercise was the most effective! Overall, we show that imagining the future of climate change—particularly a self-relevant, negative scenario—is an effective strategy to motivate climate action
In ongoing work, we are testing this intervention on new outcomes, including direct and longitudinal measures of behavior. We are investigating whether this imagination intervention can motivate paying for renewable energy programs, increase information seeking and policy support related to pro-environmental policies, and increase self-reported pro-environmental behaviors in daily life during a 10-day period after the intervention.


Project Contributors:
Allie Sinclair, University of Pennsylvania / Rice University
Emily Falk, University of Pennsylvania
Danielle Cosme, University of Pennsylvania
Kirsten Lydic, University of Pennsylvania
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Imagining a positive or negative future related to climate change action or inaction

Publications


Action planning interventions to promote individual and collective climate action


Kirsten Lydic, Alyssa H. Sinclair, Danielle Cosme, José Carreras-Tartak, Emily B. Falk

PsyArXiv


Behavioral interventions motivate action to address climate change


Alyssa H. Sinclair, Dani Cosme, Kirsten Lydic, Diego A. Reinero, José Carreras-Tartak, Michael E. Mann, Emily B. Falk

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the USA, vol. 122(20), 2025, pp. e2426768122